News

Population could double by 2056

INTERNATIONAL migration of more than 22% pushed Australia's population up 1.6% in the year to June, a rate which if continued could see the nation's population double by 2056.

Figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics in December showed the nation's population reached 22,683,600 people in June last year.

That included a rise of more than 359,000 people between June 2011 and June 2012, chiefly a result of the 22.3% rise in overseas migration, or 208,300 extra immigrants.

If population growth continued at a rate of 1.6% into the future, Australia's population could reach about 45 million by 2056 - more than 10 million more than current ABS predictions out to 2050.

Sustainable Population Australia member Jenny Goldie, in an article for Online Opinion, argues that such a rise needs to be prevented, in part by halving immigration and an end to the baby bonus for couples to have more than two children.

She wrote that even if the nation's population did not grow at 1.6% for the whole period, the average of ABS growth projections still put the population at around 39 million by 2050 and up to 54 million in 2101.

"The next 20 years will be different from the last 20 (years)," the article reads.

"A smaller population will find it easier to adapt to the coming crises of climate change and higher oil prices."

Ms Goldie wrote that the combined effects of climate change, oil prices, global food demand and the comparative lack of arable farm land in Australia meant the continent had limits on how many people it could support.

"As a first step, we have to get our growth rate under 1% as soon as we can," she wrote.

"That means no more than 230,000 extra people annually, not the 360,000 we have now.

"That means 130,000 fewer people each year - and we have to do it now."

While Prime Minister Julia Gillard has voiced her support for sustainable population policies, the migration rate has continued to rise as a share of growth, to 58% of growth, compared with 53% the previous year.

Domestically, more people were moving to Queensland than any other state in the year to June 2012, with 11,800 people looking for sunshine, closely followed by Western Australia where 11,100 people arrived.

Other states and territories which were popular for an interstate move were Victoria, which had 1200 extra people, and the Australian Capital Territory, with 700 people moving there.

Australians were also moving out of New South Wales, to the tune of 18,400 people, Tasmania at 2600, South Australia at 2400 and the Northern Territory at 1500 people.

State and territory populations at June 30, 2012:

  • New South Wales 7,290,300
  • Victoria 5,623,500
  • Queensland 4,560,100
  • Western Australia 2,430,300
  • South Australia 1,654,800
  • Tasmania 512,000
  • Northern Territory 234,800
  • Australian Capital Territory 374,700

SOURCE Australian Bureau of Statistics.

 

Kieran Salsone

Topics:  australian bureau of statistics, migration, population


Join the Community.

Get your local news, your way.

Stay Connected

Update your news preferences and get the latest news delivered to your inbox.

Queensland's worst traffic crawl spots revealed

Traffic congestion on the Ipswich motorway

RACQ says congestion has to end with better alternatives provided

"Chook" Fowler still fighting in the law courts

BAIL REFUSED: Anthony ‘Chook’ Fowler has been charged with the armed robbery of a pub he used to work at.

Former NRL player fined for breaching bail conditions

Queensland Raceway upgrade needs the Premier's backing

Mayor Paul Pisasale gets set for a hot lap in a V8 Supercar with Ipswich driver Ash Walsh. He has big plans for Qld Raceway.

Ipswich can become motorsport capital of Australia

Latest deals and offers

Young dancers wow circus judges

A team of young dancers from Ipswich blew away the judges when they performed at the Australian Circus Festival in Sydney.

Queensland's worst traffic crawl spots revealed

Traffic congestion on the Ipswich motorway

RACQ says congestion has to end with better alternatives provided

"Chook" Fowler still fighting in the law courts

BAIL REFUSED: Anthony ‘Chook’ Fowler has been charged with the armed robbery of a pub he used to work at.

Former NRL player fined for breaching bail conditions

Queensland Raceway upgrade needs the Premier's backing

Mayor Paul Pisasale gets set for a hot lap in a V8 Supercar with Ipswich driver Ash Walsh. He has big plans for Qld Raceway.

Ipswich can become motorsport capital of Australia

Turnbull on the way out as Shorten's ALP surges

FRONT RUNNER: Labor leader Bill Shorten enjoyed funding a major upgrade to the Ipswich Motorway, and the Essential poll results have given him more reasons to smile.

Labor takes poll lead as Libs flounder

Shorten commits $200m to Ipswich Motorway upgrade

SAVIOURS: Blair MP Shayne Neumann and Labor leader Bill Shorten unveil the plans for the Ipswich Motorway upgrade after the ALP’s $200 million funding commitment.

Labor to deliver the dollars for Ipswich Motorway upgrade

RACQ releases SE Qld's worst choke points

Paul Turner, RACQ

Paul Turner from RACQ talks about our worst roads at peak time.

British family bashed in Thailand

Family beaten and kicked unconscious by gang in Thailand.

Family beaten and kicked unconscious by gang in Thailand.

Ben Hunt wary of Sharks Halfback

Ben Hunt of the Broncos looks to pass during the round 23 NRL match between the Brisbane Broncos and the St George Illawarra Dragons at Suncorp Stadium.

Ben Hunt talks about Cronulla's Chad Townsend.

Demand for acreage lots pushes up property prices

Property values in Cooroy have increased 25%

Property values jump in Cooroy and Peachester.

How a sacked real estate agent made $725k in four months

Agent is now under investigation by the industry watchdog

RBA warns of future apartment oversupply

Toowoomba: Crest Apartments and Burke & Wills, Ruthven Street ( view from Neil Street) Photo Bev Lacey / The Chronicle

RBA says oversupply of apartments poses risk to household finances